{
  "run": {
    "id": "vidney-us-en-20261108-01",
    "direction": "AI 视频与图片工具首轮机会报告",
    "window": "美国英语 · 深挖节日、电影、漫画，浅扫音乐与小卖家促销 · 近 7 天和 30 天留存样本",
    "started_at": "2026-11-08T15:09:00+08:00",
    "ended_at": "2026-11-08T15:18:34+08:00",
    "timezone": "Asia/Taipei",
    "language": "zh-CN",
    "baseline": true,
    "next_step": "本轮有 3 条继续观察、3 条暂时跳过，未建议立项。优先复核圣诞合照舞和 Yohohoho：前者要证实多人照片的差异需求，后者要找到第二条独立创作。先恢复美国 Trends 近窗读数，再决定做不做入口。"
  },
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "US-en",
      "label": "美国英语",
      "social": [
        "tiktok",
        "instagram"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "limit": 6,
  "coverage": [
    {
      "market": "US-en",
      "source": "TikTok",
      "lane": "tag",
      "status": "partial",
      "detail": "检查了范围单中的 12 个精确标签，公开页面只返回通用页面，未读到帖子列表或官方美国统计。用现有留存数据复算：近 7 天 665 条，近 30 天 740 条，按帖子 ID 去重，字段为 US、文案语言 en，截点 11 月 8 日 14:45 台北。近 7 天／30 天：#christmasdancetrend 8／8（2 个账号）、#christmasdance 2／2、#threepanelbeatsync 1／1、#animeedit 1／1、#blackfriday 1／1；其余 7 个标签样本未命中。这个样本偏向既有关注范围，US 字段不代表观看者，重叠窗口不用于算增速。",
      "platform": "tiktok"
    },
    {
      "market": "US-en",
      "source": "TikTok",
      "lane": "keyword",
      "status": "partial",
      "detail": "按五路各试一组代表词，原生关键词入口未返回可核结果。用相关名称和任务措辞在英语 US 留存帖内再筛：节日 11 条、3 个账号，主要为重复教程文案；音乐 1 条；电影、漫画和促销任务未命中。搜索索引与产品页上的原帖回指另记，不计为 TikTok 原生搜索结果。",
      "platform": "tiktok"
    },
    {
      "market": "US-en",
      "source": "Instagram",
      "lane": "tag",
      "status": "failed",
      "detail": "代表标签含 #christmasphotoshoot、#christmasdance、#motioncomic、#beatsync、#vfxbreakdown，匿名访问超时或受限。没有取得近期或热门帖子列表，剩余同入口标签未扩大访问。",
      "platform": "instagram"
    },
    {
      "market": "US-en",
      "source": "Instagram",
      "lane": "keyword",
      "status": "failed",
      "detail": "匿名关键词入口无法读取，英语关键词的站外回查未找到可打开、能复核本轮任务的原始 Reels。",
      "platform": "instagram"
    },
    {
      "market": "US-en",
      "source": "X",
      "lane": "keyword",
      "status": "failed",
      "detail": "直接搜索圣诞照片舞和三格对口型未取得可读结果。用五组措辞复筛 207 条现有英语记录未命中，样本地区未知，不能据此推断美国市场没有相关帖子。"
    },
    {
      "market": "US-en",
      "source": "Google Trends",
      "lane": "trends",
      "status": "failed",
      "detail": "尝试美国近 90 天的圣诞舞、发光手掌、漫画分镜、三格卡点和黑五广告任务词。公开 Explore 返回 429，未取得可比较曲线或 Rising 查询。"
    },
    {
      "market": "US-en",
      "source": "公开网页检索",
      "lane": "serp",
      "status": "partial",
      "detail": "核过精确任务词的英语网页结果与可读原页。圣诞舞、漫画动效和促销有现成产品；片名查询主要是宣发。用于核对供给与结果意图，未验证无个性化的美国 Google 前排名次、搜索量或变化。"
    },
    {
      "market": "US-en",
      "source": "产品与模板页",
      "lane": "competitor",
      "status": "ok",
      "detail": "打开节日、电影效果、漫画、音乐和促销的公开产品页，核对输入、结果和可见发布时间。目录条目或页面更新日期不等于首次上线。首轮记录选定入口以便后续复比。"
    },
    {
      "market": "US-en",
      "source": "官方日历",
      "lane": "other",
      "status": "ok",
      "detail": "核对美国联邦假日、Disney 电影官方页及 VIZ 英语首卷发行页。日期用来定复查窗口，不作搜索需求证据。"
    },
    {
      "market": "US-en",
      "source": "公开样片拆解",
      "lane": "other",
      "status": "ok",
      "detail": "抽帧 5 段：圣诞舞 1 段、三格对口型 2 段、雪花球 1 段、黑五广告 1 段。三格的 2 个站使用同一画面和音轨。圣诞舞音轨可辨歌曲；三格混音未得到可复核的逐字对白。TikTok 原帖播放器未稳定读到，公开样片按发布页注明来处，不外推到其它原帖。"
    },
    {
      "market": "US-en",
      "source": "Semrush",
      "lane": "semrush",
      "status": "skipped",
      "detail": "公开入口未取得美国关键词数据，本轮未登录或调用付费接口。记为未取数，不作零搜索量，也不作淘汰理由。"
    }
  ],
  "opportunities": [
    {
      "term": "AI Christmas dance / 合照圣诞舞",
      "what": "观察词是 AI Christmas dance。用户任务是让两张原本分开拍的照片进入同一舞步视频。进一步待验证的是三至四位家人用各自拍的照片一起跳，成品可以当节日问候发出。",
      "why_now": "11 月 6 至 8 日留存样本有 11 条相关文案、3 个账号，其中 #christmasdancetrend 的 8 条集中在 2 个账号、话术高度重复。Copy That Video 目录标注 11 月 7 日；Vellm 已有双人输入。Vellm 嵌入的单人原舞参考在约 0.2 秒为固定机位全身加标题，4.5 至 7.7 秒出现摆臂和抬腿，音轨可辨节日歌曲。可复用的机制是固定动作配可替换人物；它是不是传播主因仍待查。",
      "response": "双人版已有现成供给。先核「family photo Christmas dance」和「three photos Christmas dance」是否有真实复刻或主动搜法，再用三位成人各自的照片验证能否保住身份、人数和衣着。先做一次内部验证，证据不足不铺页面。",
      "next_step": "11 月 10 日前复查是否有至少 2 个不同原始作品用自己的照片做多人同舞；若仍只有同一套教程反复出现，保留观察。",
      "markets": [
        {
          "id": "US-en",
          "searchers": "可能是情侣、家庭或朋友在找免拍摄的节日短片。工具页证实同名制作结果已有供给，多人独立照片的美国搜索意图待核。",
          "trends": "美国近 90 天精确任务词曲线未读到，公开入口返回 429。",
          "trend_state": "unknown",
          "semrush": "美国库未取数。无从判断数据是否已经收录。",
          "stage": "unknown",
          "checks": {
            "fit": "yes",
            "intent": "unknown",
            "gap": "testable",
            "delivery": "unknown"
          }
        }
      ],
      "evidence": [
        {
          "title": "TikTok 留存：相关标签 8 条集中于两个账号，示例原帖",
          "url": "https://www.tiktok.com/@5d633/video/7705161049250532639",
          "market": "US-en",
          "origin": "retained-christmas-tutorial-set",
          "kind": "reported",
          "role": "context",
          "observed_at": "2026-11-08T14:45:08+08:00",
          "published_at": "2026-11-07"
        },
        {
          "title": "Copy That Video 目录：11 月 7 日的圣诞舞条目",
          "url": "https://copythatvideo.com/trends",
          "market": "unknown",
          "origin": "copy-that-video",
          "kind": "direct",
          "role": "context",
          "observed_at": "2026-11-08T15:12:04+08:00"
        },
        {
          "title": "Vellm：支持两张独立照片，附原舞和双人参考；单人参考已抽帧",
          "url": "https://vellm.app/templates/christmas-same-dances",
          "market": "unknown",
          "origin": "vellm",
          "kind": "direct",
          "role": "context",
          "observed_at": "2026-11-08T15:13:40+08:00"
        },
        {
          "title": "CapCut：已有同名圣诞舞模板，宽词需要按机制拆开",
          "url": "https://www.capcut.com/template-detail/Christmas-Dance/7311141802843704581",
          "market": "unknown",
          "origin": "capcut-christmas",
          "kind": "direct",
          "role": "context",
          "observed_at": "2026-11-08T15:12:04+08:00"
        },
        {
          "title": "美国联邦假日：12 月 25 日圣诞节",
          "url": "https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/pay-leave/federal-holidays/",
          "market": "US-en",
          "origin": "us-opm",
          "kind": "direct",
          "role": "context",
          "observed_at": "2026-11-08T15:12:04+08:00"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "term": "Yohohoho meme / 三格轮流对口型",
      "what": "本轮从浅扫捞出的具体名字。留存教程同时使用 Yohohoho 和 #threepanelbeatsync。两个任务搜词是假设：three panel lip sync template 与 three panel beat sync。前者强调口型，后者可能只是卡点剪辑。",
      "why_now": "11 月 2 日的教程在美国英语样本中命中 1 次。Kavel 参考中，约 0.2 秒人物在顶格先入画，约 4.1 秒进中格，约 7 秒进下格，同一人做不同手势，屏幕字标出三个音段。八个时点的画面指纹一致，抽查四段音轨也一致，Kavel 与 ReelTada 的展示合并为一条参考。混音中词句未作逐字确认。",
      "response": "固定三格、同一人和固定节奏已经有供给。如果出现独立用法，试验用户自带可使用的音频、三格分别指定人物或动作。先验证三格切换和口型，保留通用模板的搜词。",
      "next_step": "找第二条不同人或不同原始素材的三格复刻，并分别核查专名与通用任务词。只看到同段素材传播时继续观察。",
      "markets": [
        {
          "id": "US-en",
          "searchers": "可能是短视频剪辑者找三格对口型模板。样本支持原语命名和机制，尚无同市场独立搜索曲线。",
          "trends": "美国近 90 天精确任务词曲线未读到，公开入口返回 429。",
          "trend_state": "unknown",
          "semrush": "美国库未取数。无从判断数据是否已经收录。",
          "stage": "unknown",
          "checks": {
            "fit": "yes",
            "intent": "unknown",
            "gap": "testable",
            "delivery": "unknown"
          }
        }
      ],
      "evidence": [
        {
          "title": "TikTok 留存教程：三格卡点与 Yohohoho 叫法",
          "url": "https://www.tiktok.com/@louise13002/video/7703579088727969055",
          "market": "US-en",
          "origin": "retained-yohohoho-tutorial",
          "kind": "reported",
          "role": "context",
          "observed_at": "2026-11-08T14:45:08+08:00",
          "published_at": "2026-11-02"
        },
        {
          "title": "Kavel：三格参考样片，页面将素材归于 TikTok 创作者",
          "url": "https://www.kavel.ai/video/yohohoho-meme",
          "market": "unknown",
          "origin": "yohohoho-same-reference",
          "kind": "direct",
          "role": "context",
          "observed_at": "2026-11-08T15:13:40+08:00"
        },
        {
          "title": "ReelTada：同一参考样片，另证有固定三格模板供给",
          "url": "https://reeltada.com/templates/yohohoho-meme-ai",
          "market": "unknown",
          "origin": "yohohoho-same-reference",
          "kind": "direct",
          "role": "context",
          "observed_at": "2026-11-08T15:13:40+08:00"
        },
        {
          "title": "TryH3：另一制作入口也采用相同名称",
          "url": "https://tryh3.com/generator/yohohoho-meme",
          "market": "unknown",
          "origin": "tryh3",
          "kind": "direct",
          "role": "context",
          "observed_at": "2026-11-08T15:12:04+08:00"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "term": "Animate manga panels / 原稿分镜运镜",
      "what": "将已有的多格漫画变成可读的短片。它和「照片变漫画」分开判断：用户已经有画稿，要把分镜按顺序动起来，并保住对白和原本的黑白网点。",
      "why_now": "VIZ 的英文首卷标注 11 月 10 日；原作早在 2024 年连载。本轮没找到这部漫画引发倒带分镜复刻的原帖。11 月 4 日已有逐格转视频的工作流指南，竞品还分别展示了对白配音、对白框保留等路线。",
      "response": "保留给独立漫画作者的窄任务：识别整页分格和阅读顺序、固定原稿文字、输出一段无需逐格拼接的短片。先看是否有作者自己的原稿案例和现有工具没有解决的步骤。",
      "next_step": "发行后只补查原稿动效案例与分镜教程，按照片转漫画与已有稿件运镜分别核搜索。没有独立原稿案例时不追片名或作品名。",
      "markets": [
        {
          "id": "US-en",
          "searchers": "可能是小型漫画创作者找原稿转视频。英语结果有工作流，但暂缺美国本地的独立创作者采用与关键词变化。",
          "trends": "美国近 90 天精确任务词曲线未读到，公开入口返回 429。",
          "trend_state": "unknown",
          "semrush": "美国库未取数。无从判断数据是否已经收录。",
          "stage": "unknown",
          "checks": {
            "fit": "yes",
            "intent": "unknown",
            "gap": "testable",
            "delivery": "unknown"
          }
        }
      ],
      "evidence": [
        {
          "title": "VIZ 英文首卷发行页：11 月 10 日",
          "url": "https://www.viz.com/manga-books/manga/albus-changes-the-world-volume-1-0/product/9084/paperback",
          "market": "US-en",
          "origin": "viz-albus",
          "kind": "direct",
          "role": "context",
          "observed_at": "2026-11-08T15:12:04+08:00"
        },
        {
          "title": "VIZ 作品页：原作 2024 年开始连载",
          "url": "https://www.viz.com/albus-changes-the-world",
          "market": "unknown",
          "origin": "viz-albus",
          "kind": "direct",
          "role": "context",
          "observed_at": "2026-11-08T15:12:04+08:00"
        },
        {
          "title": "Clout AI：11 月 4 日逐格做短片的指南",
          "url": "https://www.tryclout.ai/blog/ai-manga-animation-guide",
          "market": "unknown",
          "origin": "clout-manga",
          "kind": "direct",
          "role": "context",
          "observed_at": "2026-11-08T15:12:04+08:00",
          "published_at": "2026-11-04"
        },
        {
          "title": "Voe AI：提供固定对白框与边界的单格运镜方案",
          "url": "https://voe31.com/animate-manga-panel-with-ai",
          "market": "unknown",
          "origin": "voe-panel",
          "kind": "direct",
          "role": "context",
          "observed_at": "2026-11-08T15:12:04+08:00"
        },
        {
          "title": "Comik AI：面板转视频并为对白配音",
          "url": "https://comik.ai/blog/how-to-turn-manga-into-video-with-voice",
          "market": "unknown",
          "origin": "comik-panel",
          "kind": "direct",
          "role": "context",
          "observed_at": "2026-11-08T15:12:04+08:00"
        },
        {
          "title": "ImageGPT：单张照片转多格漫画已是现成入口",
          "url": "https://imagegpt.org/photo-to-comic",
          "market": "unknown",
          "origin": "imagegpt-comic",
          "kind": "direct",
          "role": "context",
          "observed_at": "2026-11-08T15:12:04+08:00"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "term": "Snow Globe Me / 通用雪花球反揭示",
      "what": "从普通人物照开始，镜头拉开后看到人物在一个雪花球里。Snow Globe Me 是 TalkPix 的公开模板名；没有证据表明创作者已经普遍用这个名称。",
      "why_now": "TalkPix 标注样片和页面于 11 月 1 日更新，PixelDojo 也公开同类效果。PixelDojo 样片约 0.2 秒是雪地人物，约 0.9 至 1.4 秒露出玻璃边框与球座，约 2.4 至 4.4 秒出现手触碰球体及雪粒。已能拆成镜头拉远、透明材质与前景手势三层；留存样本未命中 #snowglobe。",
      "response": "跳过同规格通用模板。若后续见到家庭或多宠物合照的独立需求，再核主体数量、可辨识度和可编辑问候语能否成为差异。",
      "next_step": "节日前只在发现独立原帖或明确的细分结果需求时重开。",
      "markets": [
        {
          "id": "US-en",
          "searchers": "可能有节日照片制作者寻找反揭示效果。本轮只有现成模板和样片，未取得美国搜索需求证据。",
          "trends": "未取得美国近窗曲线；不能用公开模板页代替。",
          "trend_state": "unknown",
          "semrush": "美国库未取数。无从判断数据是否已经收录。",
          "stage": "unknown",
          "checks": {
            "fit": "yes",
            "intent": "unknown",
            "gap": "no",
            "delivery": "unknown"
          }
        }
      ],
      "evidence": [
        {
          "title": "TalkPix：11 月 1 日更新，展示单张照片转雪花球视频",
          "url": "https://www.talkpix.ai/trends/snow-globe-me",
          "market": "unknown",
          "origin": "talkpix-globe",
          "kind": "direct",
          "role": "context",
          "observed_at": "2026-11-08T15:12:04+08:00"
        },
        {
          "title": "PixelDojo：相同的拉远、玻璃球与雪粒机制，样片已抽帧",
          "url": "https://pixeldojo.ai/effects/snow-globe",
          "market": "unknown",
          "origin": "pixeldojo-globe",
          "kind": "direct",
          "role": "context",
          "observed_at": "2026-11-08T15:13:40+08:00"
        },
        {
          "title": "inreel：雪花球和动态贺卡已是公开同类入口",
          "url": "https://inreel.app/effects/ai-christmas",
          "market": "unknown",
          "origin": "inreel-holiday",
          "kind": "direct",
          "role": "context",
          "observed_at": "2026-11-08T15:12:04+08:00"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "term": "Hexed magic edit / 片名带动发光手掌",
      "what": "用电影触发的内容搜索假设：将自拍改成手掌聚光再变身的短片。片名只用于找原片和追复刻。",
      "why_now": "Disney 官页确认 11 月 25 日上映，素材中确有手持光线的画面。精确片名回查主要指向宣发，未见独立创作者用自己的照片复刻同一机制。Pippit 已有通用发光手掌或手部转场主题入口。",
      "response": "这轮不铺片名或通用发光手掌页面。如果上映前后有多个作者自行复刻，再按触发手势、光线和转场拆成可做的独立效果。",
      "next_step": "等可核的自拍复刻或稳定原语叫法出现，才从片名监看转到任务词验证。",
      "markets": [
        {
          "id": "US-en",
          "searchers": "当前读到的是影片宣发和通用特效供给。片名查询没有给出明确的美国创作者任务。",
          "trends": "美国近 90 天精确任务词曲线未读到，公开入口返回 429。",
          "trend_state": "unknown",
          "semrush": "美国库未取数。无从判断数据是否已经收录。",
          "stage": "unknown",
          "checks": {
            "fit": "yes",
            "intent": "no",
            "gap": "unknown",
            "delivery": "unknown"
          }
        }
      ],
      "evidence": [
        {
          "title": "Disney：影片上映日和手持光线的官方素材",
          "url": "https://movies.disney.com/hexed",
          "market": "US-en",
          "origin": "disney-hexed",
          "kind": "direct",
          "role": "context",
          "observed_at": "2026-11-08T15:12:04+08:00"
        },
        {
          "title": "Pippit：发光手掌主题的现有模板入口",
          "url": "https://www.pippit.ai/templates/ai-glowing-hands",
          "market": "unknown",
          "origin": "pippit-hands",
          "kind": "direct",
          "role": "context",
          "observed_at": "2026-11-08T15:12:04+08:00"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "term": "Black Friday video ad / 单张商品图做促销片",
      "what": "小卖家的任务是用原有商品图做一条竖屏黑五广告。本轮只核是否存在新的做法或细分需求。",
      "why_now": "留存 #blackfriday 命中 1 条商品帖，没显示制作意图。英语公开结果已覆盖单图做成片：Kensa 样片从约 0.2 秒的浅底手表，切至约 2.2 秒的黑台聚光，约 5.3 秒加入彩纸。Dreamina 也给出先保商品图再加促销文字的流程。",
      "response": "跳过通用单图广告页面。真正值得复核的差异是多个 SKU 外形与包装文字稳定、批量输出静图和竖屏片；已有竞品和用户采用证据不足时，不把节日热度转成产品项目。",
      "next_step": "只有出现卖家展示原图、成片与工作流瓶颈，才重开这个细分方向。",
      "markets": [
        {
          "id": "US-en",
          "searchers": "可能是小商户赶黑五素材；已有产品与教程，读到的标签帖子只证明有人卖货。",
          "trends": "未取得美国近窗曲线；标签样本不是搜制作工具的证据。",
          "trend_state": "unknown",
          "semrush": "美国库未取数。无从判断数据是否已经收录。",
          "stage": "unknown",
          "checks": {
            "fit": "yes",
            "intent": "unknown",
            "gap": "no",
            "delivery": "unknown"
          }
        }
      ],
      "evidence": [
        {
          "title": "TikTok 留存黑五商品帖：标签与制作需求不同",
          "url": "https://www.tiktok.com/@jollychefus/video/7703505364930612493",
          "market": "US-en",
          "origin": "retained-blackfriday-shopping",
          "kind": "reported",
          "role": "context",
          "observed_at": "2026-11-08T14:45:08+08:00",
          "published_at": "2026-11-02"
        },
        {
          "title": "Kensa：单张商品图到黑五竖屏广告，样片已抽帧",
          "url": "https://www.kensa.cc/templates/black-friday-video-template",
          "market": "unknown",
          "origin": "kensa-blackfriday",
          "kind": "direct",
          "role": "context",
          "observed_at": "2026-11-08T15:13:40+08:00"
        },
        {
          "title": "Dreamina：保留商品外形，叠加可编辑优惠信息",
          "url": "https://dreamina.capcut.com/ai-image/black-friday-ads-from-product-photo-with-ai",
          "market": "unknown",
          "origin": "dreamina-blackfriday",
          "kind": "direct",
          "role": "context",
          "observed_at": "2026-11-08T15:12:04+08:00"
        }
      ]
    }
  ]
}